Showing posts with label Screen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Screen. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Dividend CCC Review: June 2014

One word sums up this month's screen: "Slim Pickings". Ok well two words. After a nice 5 year bull market
This month's fields are:
Dividend score: Yield, 5 year dividend growth rate, payout ratio
Fundamental score: P/E, Graham valuation, 52 week low (how close is it to the 52 week low signifying a good entrance time)

Name Symbol Industry Div Fund Score
Axis Capital Hold Ltd. AXS Insurance 2 6 8
Alliance Res Part LP ARLP MLP-Coal 5 2 7
NACCO Industries NC Machinery/Consumer 2 4 6
AFLAC Inc. AFL Insurance 2 4 6
Chubb Corp. CB Insurance 2 4 6
Deere & Company DE Farm Equipment 4 1 5
PSB Holdings Inc. PSBQ Banking 0 5 5
Textainer Group Hold TGH Transportation 3 1 4
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. WMT Retail-Discount 3 1 4
IBM IBM Technology-Hardware 2 2 4
Universal Corp. UVV Tobacco 0 4 4

For the life of me I cannot figure out why Excel isn't bordering the left edge. Luckily though this isn't the "Teaching ourselves Microsoft Office" Blog.

Companies quick to cross off
AFL: Already own and in fact added in recently.
TGH: Reviewed in past months. Too much floating rate debt.
WMT: Recently sold to rotate into another retailer.
IBM: Already own
UVV: I do not invest in tobacco
There was a dozen small banks but I am just going to start saving you guys reading time and remove them completely if I recognize them.

New companies for possible review
AXS, Axis Capital Holdings Ltd: A holding company with a mix of insurance and re-insurance companies. Its undervalued on Fastgraphs but it does have the re-insurance problem of regular collapsing EPS. My current insurance positions, AFL and AFSI, don't have this problem

ARLP, Alliance Resources Partners LP: A coal MLP. I looked at them awhile ago but I have a hard time getting excited about a U.S. coal mine. Its up +25% so far this year. I think at this point its too late to catch it and will watch for a pullback.

NC, NACCO Industries: A holding company about as weird as you can get. North American Coal Corporation which runs coal and limerock mines. Hamilton Beach kitchen, bar, and restaurant appliances, and Kitchen Collection stores that sell personla cooking equipment. This company peaked my interest until I saw it has had negative EPS growth for the past 10 years and -52 EPS in 2008.

PSBQ, PSB Holdings Inc: A holding company of a local bank that trades 80 shares a day. Boy we really got the whole trifecta right there of reasons to pass on this one.


This month's research screen winner
DE, Deere & Company: They keep coming up every other month or so and each time I say I might need to take a look at them.  Here is what Fastgraph's shows for diluted earnings.



Their debt level is really high and I am concerned at first glance that basic EPS is dropping but diluted is going through the roof. Different companies and different sectors will have different ways to look at EPS. Fastgraphs these days has 6 different EPS views. I'll need to research and learn more about DE before I pass judgement.


Disclaimer: The investments and trades discussed are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial adviser, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Monday, June 9, 2014

Dividend CCC Review: May 2014

Getting back on track with my screens at the beginning of the month. Change things up this month as usual. I feel its important to change the screen slightly or you'll keep getting the same ones and not many new ones

Dividend Score: Yield, 5 year dividend growth rate, and Payout Ratio
Fundamental Score: P/E, Graham Valuation, and the % below the 200 day simple moving average (SMA)
My thought is this time around I'd see if I couldn't buy something on a nice pullback.

Name Symbol Industry Div Fund Score
Horace Mann Educators  HMN Insurance 5 4 9
ACE Limited ACE Insurance 3 4 7
PennyMac Mort Inv Tr PMT REIT-Residential 2 5 7
Western Union Co WU Financial Services 5 1 6
BOK Financial Corp. BOKF Banking 4 2 6
BHP Billiton plc BBL Mining/Oil&Gas 4 2 6
Chevron Corp. CVX Oil & Gas 4 2 6
Textainer Group Hold TGH Transportation 4 2 6
Rent-A-Center Inc. RCII Retail-Specialty 2 4 6
SeaDrill Limited SDRL Oil&Gas Drilling 2 4 6
Monarch Fin Hold Inc. MNRK Banking 2 4 6
Bar Harbor Bankshares BHB Banking 2 4 6
Hanover Insnce Group THG Insurance 2 4 6
Old Republic Internati ORI Insurance 2 4 6
Travelers Companies TRV Insurance 2 4 6
Principal Financial Gr PFG Financial Services 4 1 5
Frisch's Restaurants Inc. FRS Restaurants 3 2 5
TAL Int Group Inc. TAL Rental/Leasing Services 2 3 5
PartnerRe Limited PRE Insurance 2 3 5
Territorial Bancorp TBNK Banking 1 4 5
Triangle Capital Corp. TCAP BDC-Financial Services 1 4 5


Companies quick to cross off...
ACE: Previously crossed off
PMT: Previously crossed off
WU: Previously crossed off
BBL: Previously crossed off
TGH: Previously crossed off
RCII: Previously crossed off
SDRL: Previously crossed off
THG: Previously crossed off
TRV: Previously crossed off
PFG: Previously crossed off
TAL: Previously crossed off
PRE: Previously crossed off
TCAP: Previously crossed off


New companies for possible review...
HMN: Horace Mann Educators Corp: Thought it would be something with education but its a holding company for insurance companies. I'm long AFL and AFSI, I need another like I need another goldbug telling me the stock market is going to crash.

BOKF: BOK Financial Corp: A holding company of small regional banks covering 8 states. Fastgraph's is showing they are down EPS for the past two years and they are now at fairvalue. Think this one falls under the too late category.

MNRK: Monarch FInancial Holdings: A regional bank of Virginia. I didn't recognize them so wanted to take a peak. Not sure what happened in 2013 share price wise but I want none of that.

BHB: Bar Harbor Bankshares: A holding company of banks. Fastgraphs shows that the share price really hugs the historic P/E of 7.6 which its at now. This really doesn't increase in share price and a 5% dividend growth rate and 5% EPS growth rate means thats all I will get. I want my potential to be more than that.

ORI: Old Republic International: An insurance holding company. This is one of the scariest Fastgraph's I have seen. Overvalued, dropping EPS currently, and it goes to 0 EPS for 4 straight years.

FRS: Frisch's Restaurants: A restaurant chain of "Frisch's Big Boy". About 110 or so locations. They had a huge dividend in 2012 but nothing really gets me excited about this one.

TBNK: Territorial Bancorp Inc: A holding company for a Hawaii regional bank. What is it with holding companies this month? Its share price has dropped this year on expected lower EPS. I want a pullback with increased EPS as safety I don't want to gamble on something silly happening to go against bad fundamentals.


This month's research screen winner...
CVX: Chevron: So almost every month this comes up and I write it off because I already own COP. But I have a 60% total return with COP. Seeing as how COP currently has a -1, its time I look to rotate out. Usually my pick of the month looks really good or is some exotic off the wall stock I have never heard of. CVX is probably about as big a company as I am going to find on my monthly screen. I'm concerned that its above its historic P/E level but its not dangerously high. I will research them to keep as a backup.


I have a stop loss order with COP to exit when it goes against me. It's really taken off and its dividend yield is now equal to CVX while giving up a lot of fundamental safety in the price.





For you capital gains investors who like to buy on the dips, here are the companies that are 5% or more below their 200 day SMA
Name Symbol Industry Div Fund Score
Rent-A-Center Inc. RCII Retail-Specialty 2 4 6
Marketing Alliance Inc. MAAL Insurance 2 2 4
Sturm Ruger & Co RGR Firearms 3 1 4
Coach Inc. COH Apparel 2 1 3
Best Buy Corp. BBY Retail-Electronic 1 2 3
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. NUS Personal Products 1 1 2
TESSCO Technologies TESS Technology-Hardware 1 1 2
Family Dollar Stores FDO Retail-Discount 3 -1 2
Armanino Foods of Dist AMNF Food Processing 3 -1 2
PetSmart Inc. PETM Retail-Specialty 0 1 1
Target Corp. TGT Retail-Discount 3 -2 1
Brady Corp. BRC Business Services 0 1 1
Infinity Property & Cas IPCC Insurance 1 0 1
Core Laboratories NV CLB Oil&Gas Equip/Svcs 2 -2 0
Stepan Company SCL Cleaning Products 0 0 0
TJX Companies Inc. TJX Retail-Apparel 1 -1 0
PetMed Express Inc. PETS Drugs-Animal 0 0 0
Ralph Lauren Corp. RL Apparel 1 -1 0

Disclaimer: The investments and trades discussed are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial adviser, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.