Friday, March 29, 2013

Is Warren Buffett wrong about dividends?


EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.



Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Monday, March 25, 2013

Week 96 and Predicting

EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.



Active Account: $7,208.35
Total Return: -3.89%
Est Monthly Income: $16.35

Trading: $3,411.59
Total Return: -10.22%
Stock
     NOK: -19.57%
Cash: $3,208.46

Investing: $3,796.76
Total Return: 2.62%
Stock
     AFL: -2.08%
     HAS: +19.13%
     SPLS: +12.66%
     STX: +13.99%
     PSEC: +0.09%
Energy
     WHZ: -12.66%
REITs
     ARCP: +2.40%
     OHI: +10.47%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Looking into GLDI as replacement
Bonds
     BLV: -2.30%
     JNK: -0.34%
     PCY: -4.71%
Cash: $896.7

ETF Account: $7,446.96
Total Return: -0.71%
Est Monthly Income: $14.15
US Stock
     SPY: +4.90%
     XLV: +6.50%
     VNQ: +2.14%
International Stock
     EWZ: -5.52%
     PXR: -6.90%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Looking into GLDI as replacement
Bonds
     BLV: -2.23%
     JNK: -0.70%
     PCY: -4.59%
Cash
     Cash: $3,080.20

Permanent Portfolio: $7,511.66
Total Return: 0.16%
Est Monthly Withdraw Rate (4% rule): $22.79
Listed by weighting
     SPY: 24.86%
     GLD: 22.78%
     TLT: 23.43%
     Cash: 28.93%


Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Sunday, March 24, 2013

...but I'm a good income investor



EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.


I hardly see anyone on Youtube talking about income investing or the importance of it to a portfolio. In the blogosphere on the other hand there are a several. Most of them though only talk about their stock picking and how their portfolio is doing, which is fine, but I think they come up short in the utility they can share with others about process. Its fine that you picked company X but WHY did you pick them and why did you buy them NOW. Some people just want to talk their book, their portfolio, and that's fine but then I don't get the emotional payoff in my time being spent with them.

When it comes down to it, I don't want to be part of the problem, I want to be part of the solution.

Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Monday, March 18, 2013

I suck at trading


EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.



On top of everything else I mentioned, I'm coming down with a cold.


Active Account: $7,153.64
Total Return: -3.98%
Est Monthly Income: $16.35

Trading: $3,417.69
Total Return: -10.06%
Stock
     NOK: -17.15%
Cash: $3,208.46

Investing: $3,634.7
Total Return: 2.35%
Stock
     AFL: -3.53%
     HAS: +15.16%
     SPLS: +11.57%
     STX: +16.05%
     PSEC: +1.25%
Energy
     WHZ: -9.22%
REITs
     ARCP: -0.49%
     OHI: +9.56%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -3.07%
     JNK: -0.19%
     PCY: -4.26%
Cash: $846.7

ETF Account: $7,425.81
Total Return: -0.32%
Est Monthly Income: $14.15
US Stock
     SPY: +5.09%
     XLV: +6.05%
     VNQ: +3.45%
International Stock
     EWZ: -1.97%
     PXR: -5.2%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -3.00%
     JNK: -0.56%
     PCY: -4.14%
Cash
     Cash: $3,03.20

Permanent Portfolio: $7,423.79
Total Return: -0.35%
Est Monthly Withdraw Rate (4% rule): $22.53
Listed by weighting
     SPY: 25.20%
     GLD: 22.81%
     TLT: 23.39%
     Cash: 28.60%


Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Saturday, March 16, 2013

Company evaluation spreadsheet.



EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.


As I mention in the video, I have been playing around with a scoring system for quite awhile.

There is one common way to evaluate the strength of a company that I left out, debt. Lots of different ways to do it but I have it rolled under payout ratio. Some companies can have lots of dead and provide an enormous amount of free cash flow to let them pay a dividend and manage their debt payments, they will have a low to mid ranged payout ratios. Other companies and sectors can afford very little debt as the do not provide much margin on their products and any dividend would cut into their profits quickly. This would give a high payout ratio.

I prefer to color code it with reds and greens and have it automatically change with conditional formatting. Lots of numbers going on in this page and each column has a different meaning of what is good or bad for it. Very quickly your eyes jump to the clusters of green and what we should be focusing in on.

I like complex but automated while you may like something quick and easy. You should do what you'll stick with and what works for you. It won't do any good if you try something you hate and give up on it.

I'll add this spreadsheet to the Active account page.
Here is a copy of the spreadsheet.


Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Monday, March 11, 2013

Week 94 - When you are wrong move on and deal with it


EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.




Active Account: $7,067.64
Total Return: -4.49%
Est Monthly Income: $16.31

Trading: $3,432.94
Total Return: -9.66%
Stock
     NOK: -11.11%
Cash: $3,158.46

Investing: $3,634.7
Total Return: 0.96%
Stock
     AFL: -5.31%
     HAS: +13.23%
     SPLS: +7.91%
     STX: +6.70%
     PSEC: +0%
Energy
     WHZ: -11.51%
REITs
     ARCP: +1.48
     OHI: +7.31%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -3.33%
     JNK: -0.70%
     PCY: -3.43%
Cash: $796.7

ETF Account: $7,394.62
Total Return: -0.07%
Est Monthly Income: $14.15
US Stock
     SPY: +4.79%
     XLV: +5.6%
     VNQ: +2.76%
International Stock
     EWZ: 1.43%
     PXR: -1.4%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -3.26%
     JNK: -1.06%
     PCY: -3.30%
Cash
     Cash: $2,980.20

Permanent Portfolio: $7,339.80
Total Return: -0.81%
Est Monthly Withdraw Rate (4% rule): $22.28
Listed by weighting
     SPY: 25.41%
     GLD: 22.89%
     TLT: 23.45%
     Cash: 28.25%


Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Saturday, March 9, 2013

Book Review: The Snowball


EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.




Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Selling my TCAP today

Just a quick update on a former investment. I am selling TCAP today. Its had a great run with it getting a 60% gain for the old Model Portfolio. But earnings is this week and I don't know if they will meet expectations. That's a lot of money on the table....

EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.





Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.

Sunday, March 3, 2013

Week 93 hedging with puts



EDIT: At the time this blog entry was posted I had a Youtube video here. That has been removed but I want the rest of my content to be remain. Nothing hidden no past mistakes ignored. All out in the open.



Active Account: $7,124.51
Total Return: -3.07%
Est Monthly Income: $12.41

Trading: $3,502.45
Total Return: -6.60%
Stock
     NOK: -13.29%
Options
     SPY 152 May PUT: -29.17%
Cash: $2,884.46

Investing: $3,622.06
Total Return: -3.07%
Stock
     AFL: -5.21%
     HAS: +8.99%
     SPLS: +8.16%
     STX: +6.11%
     PSEC: To be purchased soon
Energy
     WHZ: -11.27%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -1.09%
     JNK: -0.85%
     PCY: -3.2%
Cash: $1,294.95

ETF Account: $7,303.64
Total Return: -0.63%
Est Monthly Income: $14.15
US Stock
     SPY: +2.55%
     XLV: +3.79%
     VNQ: +1.81%
International Stock
     EWZ: -2.89%
     PXR: -2.92%
Gold
     IAU: Sold. Waiting for price action to level off.
Bonds
     BLV: -1.02%
     JNK: -1.21%
     PCY: -3.08%
Cash
     Cash: $2,924.96

Permanent Portfolio: $7,305.51
Total Return: -0.61%
Est Monthly Withdraw Rate (4% rule): $22.17
Listed by weighting
     SPY: 24.99%
     GLD: 22.95%
     TLT: 24.41%
     Cash: 27.65%


Disclaimer: The investments and trades in my videos and blog entries are not recommendations for others. I am not a financial planner, financial advisor, accountant, or tax adviser. The financial actions I talk about are for my own portfolio and money and only suited for my own risk tolerance, strategy, and ideas. Copying another person's financial moves can lead to large losses. Each person needs to do their due diligence in researching and planning their own actions in the financial markets.